Relationship between the U.S. presidential election and the stock market

The U.S. presidential election is scheduled for Nov. 5, 2024. There is a short but hopeful report on Hyundai Motor Securities that deals with the relationship between the U.S. president’s term and the stock market. ●The box market in September is expected to continue in October

▲ U.S. stock market in September = Continued in October = The time when the U.S. stock market’s upward trend resumes is likely to be delayed a little from November to December rather than October = What is the basis for continuing the box market?

Major companies’ earnings announcements to ease the valuation burden are scheduled for the end of October: Alphabet (10/24), Microsoft (10/24), Apple (10/26), Amazon (10/26) and Nvidia (11/21), and additional rate hikes can be resolved after FOMC meetings scheduled for October 31-November 1 The trend of the S&P 500 index in the third year of the past U.S. presidential term usually lasts until November, and the relationship between the U.S. presidential term and the stock market

In order to re-elect the first president, President Biden will likely continue to rise in the third year of his term until at least OctoberHyundai Motor Securities Report: Index Flow During U.S. Presidential Termyear-end rally expectationConsidering the year-end rally and the possibility of a rise in the U.S. stock market by next year, it is necessary to use this breather in the U.S. stock market as an opportunity to buy.From the end of the year, expectations for a cut will spread partly as the key rate hike is certain to be suspended, and the U.S. S&P 500 index will rebound from late November during its first presidential term until its fourth year => It is not known whether the relationship between the U.S. presidential term from 1949 to 2020 and the U.S. S&P 500 index will be repeated this time, but news containing various stimulus measures will pour out ahead of re-election in his fourth year in office. With a positive view, I would like to collect well until October when the box market price is high.Janine Clovinson, 출처 UnsplashJanine Clovinson, 출처 Unsplash